KVB Market Analysis | 7 August: AUD/USD Recovers Above 0.6500 Amidst RBA Hawkish Hold and Commodity Price Gains
Following fresh 2024 lows near 0.6350, AUD/USD bounced back above 0.6500 on Tuesday, returning to positive weekly territory. The pair remains focused on the 200-day SMA at 0.6592, with a negative bias expected below this level. The recovery was supported by rising copper and iron ore prices and a hawkish hold from the RBA.
KVB Market Analysis | 6 August: USD/JPY Recovers from January Lows Amid Recession Fears and Fed Rate Cut Speculation
The USD/JPY pair has rebounded to around 145.40 after dropping to its lowest level since January at 141.68, amid early Asian trading. The US Dollar's decline was driven by recession fears and expectations of significant Federal Reserve rate cuts. The rise in the US Unemployment Rate in July has heightened concerns about a recession, leading markets to anticipate rate cuts of 50 basis points in September and November, and an additional 25 basis points in December.
KVB Market Analysis | 5 August: Gold Declines in Early Asian Session Amid Profit-Taking and Market Uncertainty
Gold declined in the early Asian session due to profit-taking after hitting a record high on Friday. The US NFP report showed only 117K new jobs in July, below the expected 175K, signaling a potential increase for XAU/USD. Annual wage growth slowed to 3.7%, easing inflation fears and boosting Fed rate-cut prospects. Rising tensions between Iran and Israel have also increased gold’s safe-haven appeal.
KVB Market Analysis | 2 August: Japanese Yen Rallies as BoJ Surprises with Hawkish Moves, Eyes Set on USD/JPY Support Levels
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar after the Bank of Japan's hawkish policy move, raising rates by 15 basis points and reducing bond purchases. Japan's Ministry of Finance also spent ¥5.53 trillion ($36.8 billion) in July to stabilize the Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar weakened as the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates. Traders now await US economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and Initial Jobless Claims, for further guidance.
KVB Market Analysis | 1 August: Gold Prices Surge Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation and Geopolitical Tensions
Gold prices surged on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve suggested a potential rate cut in September. A decline in US Treasury yields and the US dollar, which hit its lowest level since July 18, further increased the appeal of gold. Investors are closely monitoring the Fed's upcoming policy decision. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, also drove investors towards the safe-haven asset, adding to gold's rise.
Gold Prices Target Late-2013 High as Yield Curve Inversion Widens
Gold prices target August 2013 highs as US recession fears rise and local bond yields tumble. The GBPUSD is aiming lower as Boris Johnson comments on Brexit ahead of the APAC session.
Gold Prices Subdued at Resistance, Eying Fed Along With Crude Oil
Gold prices inch towards inevitable upside or downside breakout, eyeing a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and increasingly tense US-China trade talks, along with crude oil prices.
Crude Oil Prices May Top, Gold Prices Eye US Durable Goods Orders
Technical analysis warns crude oil prices may top after failing to rise on supportive fundamental news. Gold prices may rise if USD, bond yields fall